• Thu. Nov 24th, 2022

North Carolina vs. NC State Odds, Line: 2022 College Football Picks, Week 13 Predictions Using Proven Model

ByDenise T. Tatum

Nov 24, 2022

The No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels will try to recover from their second loss of the season when they meet the NC State Wolfpack in a rivalry game on Friday afternoon. UNC were eliminated from the college football playoffs last week in a 21-17 setback against Georgia Tech. NC State is riding a two-game slip after a 25-10 loss in Louisville.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels are favored at 6.5 points in the latest North Carolina vs. NC State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 56. College football predictions from SportsLine’s model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has North Carolina versus NC State in its sights. You can go to SportsLine to see the selection. Here are several college football odds for North Carolina vs NC State:

  • Spread between North Carolina and NC State: North Carolina -6.5
  • North Carolina vs. NC State Over/Under: 56 points
  • North Carolina vs. NC State money line: North Carolina -240, NC State +196
  • North Carolina vs. NC State Picks: See picks here

Featured Game | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack

Why NC State can cover

NC State is on a two-game losing streak but has also notched up some impressive wins this season. The wolf pack struck then-No. 21 Wake Forest by nine points in early November, and they’ve also had wins over Texas Tech and Florida State. They’ve been one of the best defensive teams in the country this year, allowing just 323.4 yards per game.

The Wolfpack were particularly strong against the run, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game (101.4). Quarterback MJ Morris could return after missing last week’s game through injury, otherwise redshirt freshman Ben Finley will make another start. NC State has won 10 of the last 15 meetings between those teams, and North Carolina is coming off its worst performance of the year.

Why North Carolina can cover

North Carolina was on a six-game win-loss streak against Georgia Tech last week, but it still has a shot at 10 wins this season. The Tar Heels also already secured a spot in the ACC title game, so they’re looking to gain some momentum in this matchup with Clemson. They rank sixth nationally in passing touchdowns per game and eighth in total offensive yards per game.

Quarterback Drake Maye continues to lead the nation with 4,211 yards this season. Tight end John Copenhaver and wide receiver Antoine Green, both of whom missed the Georgia Tech loss with upper-body injuries, are expected to return on Friday. NC State has covered the spread just once in their last eight games and has failed to overcome multiple quarterback injuries.

How to Make North Carolina vs. NC State Picks

The model ran NC State vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning forward and it also generated a point spread pick that hits in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only see the selection at SportsLine.

So who will win North Carolina vs NC State? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the NC State vs. North Carolina span you need to jump to on Friday, all from the model who smashed his college football picks and find out.