• Tue. Dec 6th, 2022

Odds, spread, DFS tips and more

ByDenise T. Tatum

Nov 25, 2022

With their hopes dashed last week, how will UNC react to our NC State vs. North Carolina college football betting prediction? The Tar Heels will still play Clemson in next week’s ACC Championship Game, but after losing to Georgia Tech last week, they have plenty of answers to answer against their state rival.

NC State vs North Carolina Betting Preview

  • Spread
    North Carolina (-6.5)
  • money line
    North Carolina (-230); NC state (+195)
  • over under
    56
  • game time
    3:30 p.m. ET
  • location
    Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
  • Expected weather at kick-off
    59 degrees, partly cloudy, 5-6 mph wind
  • like watching
    fuboTV, ABC

Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Games

  • QB Drake Maye, North Carolina ($12,000)
  • QB Jack Chambers, State NC ($6,500)
  • QB Ben Finley, NC State ($6,500)
  • RB Elijah Green, North Carolina ($8,100)
  • RB Jordan Houston, NC State ($6,100)
  • RB Michael Allen, NC State ($6,000)
  • RB Omarion Hampton, NC ($5,600)
  • WR Josh Downs, North Carolina ($10,000)
  • WR Antoine Green, North Carolina ($9,000)
  • WR Thayer Thomas, NC State ($7,100)
  • WR Darryl Jones, State NC ($5,800)
  • WR Porter Rooks, State NC ($5,700)
  • WR Keyon Lesane, NC State ($5,600)
  • WR JJ Jones, North Carolina ($5,400)
  • WR Kobey Paysour, NC ($5,200)
  • TE Bryson Nesbit, North Carolina ($5,900)
  • TE Kamari Morales, NC ($5,200)
  • TE Trent Pennix, State NC ($4,800)

As great as Drake Maye has been this season, he was held up on foot counts against the Yellow Jackets last week. Unfortunately for him, the loss likely ruined his legitimate chances for the Heisman Trophy as well. Still, at this rate, he should still get an invite to the ceremony.

In the game against Georgia Tech, the offensive error of not moving the ball didn’t end up on Maye’s shoulders. More on that below, and Maye is an indispensable player in almost every situation.

Josh Downs also had an off-game against Tech, but he’s still an all-American player with a high cap in all formats. The Tar Heels average over 500 yards of offense per game and are one of the highest scoring units in the country.

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Grabbing Downs and Maye are the best options as they can return to their peak form in Clemson play.

As far as NC State players go for your DFS lineup, the options are slim now that the quarterback position has been sorted. We have our answers for the Wolfpack: MJ Morris has a bright future, but Jack Chambers started against Louisville, and Ben Finley took over after just 2 of Chambers’ 7 passes.

The team is no longer a viable option for DFS play or your fantasy plays at this rate, despite a favorable matchup against a poor UNC defense.

Prediction for NC State vs. North Carolina

As previously mentioned, the blame for the loss at Georgia Tech didn’t fall squarely on Maye’s shoulders. Instead, his receivers were off for the entire game. The Yellow Jackets wrapped them in cover. Still, there were certainly moments when the recipients could have made their own breakup and didn’t.

To make matters worse, there were several drops. But none was bigger than Downs’ drop in the end zone on a crucial fourth down that Maye placed perfectly in his hands and away from cover.

The good thing for UNC fans here is that Mack Brown has been through it all. And it seems Maye has a square focus, knowing full well that he can’t dwell in the past. As the saying goes, don’t let losses beat you twice, and Maye can get back on the proverbial horse and claim a win that enters the ACC Championship Game.

MORE: College Football Picks, Predictions for Week 13 Early Line Value for Rivalry Week

NC State doesn’t have an offense without Devin Leary as quarterback, but Maye will certainly have a strong defense to go against. How Georgia Tech defeated UNC in the trenches was right down the offensive line. Keion White had a career night, earning PFN Team of the Week in the process.

However, the Wolf Pack didn’t generate much pressure from inside the defensive line. They’ve relied heavily on their linebackers and fullbacks to apply pressure this season.

This doesn’t work against Maye, who can construct his own pocket, reset his throwing movement, and find receivers in the bottom square. The NC State cornerbacks and safeties will have their hands full throughout the game.

For Maye, he has enough time to throw and enough time to push the ball down. He’ll find open trajectories over center field, especially when NC State sends their linebackers how they want.

forecast: North Carolina 31, NC State 17

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