• Thu. Nov 24th, 2022

Texas vs. Baylor: Prediction, Selection, Spread, Football Match Odds, Live Stream, Watch Online, TV Channel

ByRobin H. Purcell

Nov 24, 2022

Two state rivals square off in the regular season finals for both programs on Black Friday when Texas host Baylor in Austin, Texas. The Longhorns clinched an emphatic 55-14 win over Kansas, setting their first winning record under Steve Sarkisian. Running back Bijan Robinson dominated with 243 rushing yards and four touchdowns to move up to 6th in rushing yards nationally.

Baylor was literally seconds away from beating rival No. 4 TCU in Week 12. However, the Frogs kicked a fire practice field gate after time was up to shock the Bears in Waco. Running back Craig Williams rushed for 112 yards to win while receiver Monaray Baldwin exploded for 123 yards. However, the Bears allowed a 12-yard run to a third and one that could have iced the game. The loss dropped Baylor to 6-5, with four of the losses totaling 21 points.

The matchup between these two teams dates back to 1901 when Texas held a 79-28-4 advantage. The Longhorns have won five of their last seven matchups, but Baylor has won two of their last three, including a 31-24 decision in Waco, Texas last season. Baylor running back Abram Smith rushed for 145 yards and a touchdown to negate Gerry Bohanon’s two interceptions in the loss. Robinson was held to just 43 yards.

Texas vs. Baylor: Must know

Run for miles: Baylor and Texas are among the most dynamic rushing teams in the country, but have different strategies to get there. Longhorns running back Bijan Robinson is an All-American and a first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Robinson has rushed for 100 yards in seven of eight Texas games, including 200-yard rushes in two of his last three games. Baylor doesn’t have a dominant rusher, but Richard Reese, Craig Williams, and Qualan Jones have each conceded 400 yards rushing and four touchdowns, with Reese capping a 1,000-yard season.

Volatile Quarterbacks: Five-Star Transfer Quinn Ewers was one of the highest-rated quarterbacks in league history and the first perfect 1,0000 quarterback recruit since Vince Young. However, Ewers has been a liability in the second half of the season and hasn’t completed more than 60% of his passes since October 15. Likewise, Baylor quarterback Blake Shapen was fickle in his freshman year as a starter. Shapen has averaged more than 300 passing yards per game in his first three Big 12 games, but has only one touchdown to four interceptions in his last four games. Both defenses were vulnerable to the pass.

Impact of the Big 12: Texas is technically still alive in the Big 12 Championship Game race ahead of the last weekend of the season. The Longhorns need to thread a needle by beating Baylor on Friday while hoping Kansas beats Kansas State in the Sunflower Showdown. It’s still an outside case, but a trip to the Big 12 title game in the second year of the Sarkisian era would be a significant move for Texas. The Longhorns have not played for a Big 12 championship since 2018, nor have they won a conference title since 2009.

How to watch Texas vs Baylor live

date: Friday, November 25 | time: noon ET
location: Darrell K. Royal Memorial Stadium – Austin, Texas
TV: ESPN | Live broadcast: fuboTV (try for free)

Texas vs. Baylor prediction, tips

Featured Game | Texas Longhorns versus Baylor Bears

Vegas odds makers overrated Texas all year despite a four-loss season, and that trend continues in the season finale. The Longhorns have beaten only one team by more than 8.5 points since the Red River Showdown: Kansas. Baylor is more than willing to take on the athletes from Texas and even play on the streets in Austin. Prediction: Baylor +8.5

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